POLAR PACIFIC / Financial Markets Analysis by David Bensimon [DAILY]

This section presents Highlights of actual forecasts from the Dynamic Balance Daily Reports, with one monthly example for each of the two main indices covered in every issue plus one for the additional markets covered on a rotating basis.
The purpose of these Highlights is to illustrate a high degree of accuracy with short-term projections of price, direction, and timing. They are not meant to be an exhaustive listing of every forecast, expectation, or contingent scenario presented in the Reports. Of those forecasts not included here many were also successful in terms of achieving their price, direction, or timing objectives, but for the sake of brevity only one projection per month is shown.
Of course, no one is perfect, and the Daily Reports also included some forecasts that did not meet their anticipated targets.

SPX
03 OCT	*Forecast*	"A gap open higher to 1445* followed by a dip back to 1436 -- and then a surge up to 1461."*
	*Outcome*	The market followed the script for this triple play almost perfectly: it opened strongly to exactly the 1445 cited target, dropped back to precisely the 1436 cited support, and then surged to a high at 1455.

08 NOV	*Forecast*	"Resistance at 1435 ... support at 1427 followed by 1421 ... a break of this level would open the way to previous inflection points at 1416 and 1408."
	*Outcome*	An early rally halted at 1437 -- just a touch over the 1435 cited resistance -- and turned down sharply for the rest of the day. The first stop at 1420 was right on the second cited support and the market quickly bounced back to 1427 to exactly touch the first cited inflection point before resuming the drop to 1415 -- right at the third cited support. Consolidation back to 1420 was then followed by another downleg to 1409 -- hitting this precision series one more time right at the fourth cited target.

08 DEC	*Forecast*	"Expect early strength up to 1351* to eventually roll out to 1368. Getting past that level would then open the way to 1383."*
	*Outcome*	The market opened strong, as expected, with a gap up to 1353 -- just a touch above the 1351 cited target -- and rolled directly out to 1366 -- very nearly reaching the objective cited at 1368. A pullback to 1356 was then followed by another upside push which broke past 1368 to reach a high at 1380 -- just two points from the upper target cited at 1383.

10 JAN	*Forecast*	"Expect early weakness back to 1288* to be followed by another rally up to 1313."*
	*Outcome*	Opening weakness saw a drop to 1287 -- right at the 1288 cited target -- and the market rallied from there straight up to a midday peak at 1312 -- almost exactly at the 1313 cited objective.

05 FEB	*Forecast*	"Expect an early dip to 1343, followed by a recovery to 1358."
	*Outcome*	The market descended directly to a trough at 1344 -- virtually the 1343 cited objective -- and promptly recovered to a late high at 1355 -- nearly reaching the 1358 cited target.

14 MAR	*Forecast*	"A failure at 1200* to trigger a decline to a divergent low at 1161."*
	*Outcome*	The morning saw a sharp 35-point sell-off directly to a trough at 1162 -- right at the cited target of 1161 -- and quickly reversed back up, as expected, gaining 26 points to 1188.

NDX
17 OCT	*Forecast*	"An early spike to 3325* as a false upside break followed by a severe sell-off to 3100."*
	*Outcome*	A strong opening gap peaked in the first few minutes at 3326 -- precisely at the cited target -- and the market then fell steadily for 200 points down to the low at 3127 -- nearly reaching the cited objective at 3100.

17 NOV	*Forecast*	"Resistance at 2990-3020. Failure there will lead to another sizeable downswing, targeting 2890* [and then] lower support near 2830."*
	*Outcome*	The market reached an early peak at exactly 3000 -- right in the heart of the cited resistance zone -- and dropped as expected 150 points from there to a low at 2850, nearly reaching the 2830 lower objective.

21 DEC	*Forecast*	"A clean and persistent recovery path from 2200* to 2400 is anticipated."*
	*Outcome*	The market rose 172 points (8%) throughout the day in a clear and persistent rally from 2175 to just under 2350 -- nearly fulfilling the cited 200-point advance from a slightly lower starting point.

17 JAN	*Forecast*	"Early strength will continue the recovery to a culmination at 2630* ... Look to Sell carefully as the market reaches this critical high."*
	*Outcome*	Opening strength powered 159 points all the way up to a peak at 2629 -- precisely at the 2630 cited objective. As expected, the market then retreated throughout the day, reaching a low at 2540.

09 FEB	*Forecast*	"A downside breach of 2350* would see heavy selling into a Close at 2250."*
	*Outcome*	*The market collapsed straight from the Open, reaching a late-afternoon trough nearly* 100 points lower at 2248 -- virtually at the 2250 cited objective.

09 MAR	*Forecast*	"Expect early weakness to drive down to a double bottom at 1838* ... with lower support at 1800."*
	*Outcome*	The market opened with the expected drive directly to a morning trough at 1838 -- 100 points down from the previous Close and precisely at the 1838 cited objective. A small consolidation was then followed by an afternoon plunge to a low at 1803 -- almost exactly at the cited lower target at 1800.

*Other Markets*
DOW
16 OCT	*Forecast*	"An upswing to 10300* ... [then] midweek should see resumption of the downtrend in a capitulation sequence targeting an extreme of 9618."*
	*Outcome*	The expected rally reached 10294 on Tuesday -- virtually at the cited target of 10300 -- and the market then fulfilled the 600-point (6%) capitulation sequence almost perfectly with an extreme low the next day at at 9655 !

AUDUSD
22 NOV	*Forecast*	"This currency pair is extremely close to reaching a significant inflection point ... just a touch below the current level around 0.5100."
	*Outcome*	The timing was impeccable, with an extreme record Low at .5075 that very morning producing a 4% rally by the end of the day. The advance then continued to a peak 7 weeks later at .5725 for a total gain of 13%.

USDJPY
13 DEC	*Forecast*	"Expect support at 111* to hold, and a rally to reach 114 by Christmas."*
	*Outcome*	The support at 111 held as expected, and the market rallied quickly to achieve the 114 cited objective on 27DEC -- just 2 days after the anticipated date.

EURUSD
10 JAN	*Forecast*	"The rally from .8400 is complete at .9600 and the market will now retreat to .8800"
	*Outcome*	The market made a double top at .9600 two days later and over the next 11 weeks dropped all the way down (8%) to achieve the cited objective at .8800.

BONDS [USM1]
23 FEB	*Forecast*	"Look for a full-point rally from 103-08 to 104-08 to be followed by a pullback to 103-16 before a more significant upswing takes control towards 106-00"
	*Outcome*	The market rallied as expected to a high at 104-03 -- just a touch under the cited objective at 104-08 -- and dropped from there back to a low at 103-14 -- virtually the cited target at 103-16. The rally then resumed exactly as anticipated, with a surge up to achieve the 106-00 cited objective 3 sessions later.

DEPOSITS [EDM1]
08 MAR	*Forecast*	"Look for strength up to 95.42 to unload long positions, with a trailing stop at 95.20. A potential spike to 95.60 would offer a very good level to go short."
	*Outcome*	An initial dip to 95.23 held above the 95.20 trailing stop level, and the market then powered up more than 20 bp as anticipated to a high at 95.45 -- achieving the 95.42 target for taking profit. The following week the market continued higher still to a spike precisely at the 95.60 target for short entry, and promptly dropped nearly 20 points straight back to 95.41.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance

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