POLAR PACIFIC / Financial Markets Analysis by David Bensimon [2002]

This section presents Highlights from the second year (MAR02-MAR03) of the Dynamic Balance Weekly Reports. Examples are provided for each of the four asset classes with regular coverage: equities, exchange rates, interest rates, and commodities.
The purpose of these Highlights is to illustrate accuracy on short- and medium-term projections of price, direction, and timing. They are not meant to be an exhaustive listing of every forecast, expectation, or contingent scenario presented in the Reports. Of the numerous other forecasts not included here many were also successful in terms of achieving their price, direction, or timing objectives.
Of course, no one is perfect and the Weekly series also included some forecasts that did not meet their anticipated targets.

SPX

Report #51 on 11MAR called for a peak on 17MAY and then a steep slide to a trough in October. The timing for both ends was perfect.

Report #71 just after the Low on 24JUL detailed the bullish significance of 776. The market rose 24% over the next month.

Report #75 just after the High on 22AUG called for a deep pullback to a double bottom at 776 and warned particularly of a 15% slide during September. The market dropped 13% that month.

Report #78 for 16SEP refined the forecast to 776 on 08OCT. The Closing Low was precisely 776 on 09OCT.

Report #79 for 23SEP added that "achieving this important Price-Time nexus should produce a powerful reversal". From the intraday trough at 769 on 10OCT (precisely 769 calendar days since the significant High on 01SEP00) the market rose 24% to the peak at 954 on 02DEC.

An update to the website article on 30OCT favoured a top at 924 with an alternative cited at 958 -- almost exactly where the rally halted. However, the subsequent steep fall projected for 19DEC did not materialise.

Report #95 for 13JAN continued to favour a substantial decline. The market fell immediately by 16% from 935 on 13JAN to 789 on 12MAR -- covering virtually half of the total distance required to 629.

EURUSD

   Forecast

Report #47 on 11FEB (just a week after the key trough at .8600) declared that "the outlook for the rest of the year remains bullish in favour of reaching 1.0000".

   Outcome

The 1.0000 target was achieved five months later in July.

GOLD

   Forecast

Report #87 published on 18NOV highlighted a confluence of bullish fundamentals and in a colour-coded chart identified a very bullish technical correspondence with the Price-Time structure from the 1980s. The summary forecast was for "a 40% surge in the USD price of Gold over the coming 3 months" and that "volatile trading should push to 400 before falling back sharply".

   Outcome

Gold rallied 25% to a High on 05FEB03 at 390 -- covering 5/8 of the total required in the right time-frame and halting just shy of the cited interim target at 400 -- before falling back very sharply.

BOND

   Forecast

Report #55 on 08APR: "Holding at 100 would enable the market to eventually head higher to 115".

   Outcome

The front contract held at 100 and proceeded all the way to a High on 08OCT at 115-03 -- halting precisely at the 115 cited objective. It then fell sharply back to 107-02 in just two weeks.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance

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