|
F O R E
C A S T S |
PolarView |
The PolarView Monthly Analysis had a remarkable second year,
with prescient calls across the spectrum of equity, currency,
commodity, and interest rate markets covered on a rotating basis.
The
examples below illustrate the high degree of accuracy on short- and
medium-term projections for price, direction,
and timing. They are not an
exhaustive list of every forecast, expectation, or contingent
scenario presented in the Reports, and some of those not included in
this brief review were also very successful. But
of course no one is perfect, and some forecasts did not materialise.
|
|
EQUITIES |
|
SPX
|
Forecast:
At the beginning of MAY called for a peak at 1326.
Outcome:
Market delivered a high at 1327
on 05MAY and dropped 8%
to 1219
on 14JUN
|
|
CURRENCIES |
|
USDJPY |
Forecast:
In
FEB called for a 10%
drop from 122 to
109.
Outcome:
Market
delivered with a 9%
slide to a low in
MAY at 109.
|
|
COMMODITIES |
|
GOLD |
Forecast:
In NOV called
for 12%
rally from 607
to 680.
Outcome:
Market
delivered 14%
gain to 492 on
28FEB07.
|
|
INTEREST
RATES |
|
30-Year |
Forecast:
In
AUG called for advance from
108 to 112
during SEP.
Outcome:
Market
achieved 112 target
on schedule in SEP
|
|
Other
Publications and Speaking Engagements |
|
Presentation
APTA |
Forecast:
In FEB outlined
case for long-term bullishness on commodities, but cautioned 2006
would be year of consolidation for metals.
Outcome:
2006 saw
oscillation with 25%
drop from peak in MAY, 25%
from trough in JUN, 15%
drop from peak in JUL, and 15%
gain from trough in OCT
|
Magazine
YTE |
Forecast:
In MAY called
for immediate sharp 25%
drop for Gold from 730
to 550.
Outcome:
Market delivered
precisely this move from 732
to 546
during 12MAY-14JUN.
|
Book
Polar Perspectives |
Forecast:
In JUL called
for peak at 84
and 28%
decline between AUG-NOV for Oil
Outcome:
Market delivered 28%
drop from 79
to 57
between 15JUL-01NOV
|
Lecture
ATAA |
Forecast:
In SEP projected
low for Oil at 57
and then sharp recovery
Outcome:
Market dropped
8% to exactly 57
and then gained
12% during
NOV-DEC
|
Consultation
client |
Forecast:
In DEC called
for sharp drop in Copper to 2.38
and then massive surge.
Outcome:
Market delivered with
immediate 27%
collapse to precisely 2.38
in FEB and then
60% gain over
next 3 months.
|
Copyright
 2007
Polar Pacific Pty Ltd
Past
performance is not a guarantee of future performance
All material relating to financial markets is provided for academic purposes
only and must not be construed by any visitor as investment or trading advice.
From 2004 all services relating to financial products are limited by Australian
legislation to the provision of general advice to wholesale clients only.
Please read the full Terms
and Conditions
|
2008
Polar Pacific Pty Ltd