POLAR PACIFIC / Financial Markets Analysis by David Bensimon [2006]

The PolarView Monthly Analysis had a remarkable second year, with prescient calls across the spectrum of equity, currency, commodity, and interest rate markets covered on a rotating basis.
The examples below illustrate the high degree of accuracy on short- and medium-term projections for price, direction, and timing. They are not an exhaustive list of every forecast, expectation, or contingent scenario presented in the Reports, and some of those not included in this brief review were also very successful. But of course no one is perfect, and some forecasts did not materialise.

EQUITIES

SPX

Forecast:

At the beginning of MAY called for a peak at 1326.

Outcome:

Market delivered a high at 1327 on 05MAY and dropped 8% to 1219 on 14JUN

COMMODITIES

GOLD

Forecast:

In NOV called for 12% rally from 607 to 680.

Outcome:

Market delivered 14% gain to 492 on 28FEB07.

Other Publications and Speaking Engagements
Presentation APTA	Forecast: In FEB outlined case for long-term bullishness on commodities, but cautioned 2006 would be year of consolidation for metals. Outcome: 2006 saw oscillation with 25% drop from peak in MAY, 25% from trough in JUN, 15% drop from peak in JUL, and 15% gain from trough in OCT
Magazine YTE	Forecast: In MAY called for immediate sharp 25% drop for Gold from 730 to 550. Outcome: Market delivered precisely this move from 732 to 546 during 12MAY-14JUN.
Book Polar Perspectives	Forecast: In JUL called for peak at 84 and 28% decline between AUG-NOV for Oil Outcome: Market delivered 28% drop from 79 to 57 between 15JUL-01NOV
Lecture ATAA	Forecast: In SEP projected low for Oil at 57 and then sharp recovery Outcome: Market dropped 8% to exactly 57 and then gained 12% during NOV-DEC
Consultation client	Forecast: In DEC called for sharp drop in Copper to 2.38 and then massive surge. Outcome: Market delivered with immediate 27% collapse to precisely 2.38 in FEB and then 60% gain over next 3 months.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance

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